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"Forget the World Cup, the macro-economic catastrophe cup has more well-matched contenders"
1 year ago
Government bonds are rallying in some quarters, but the odds are on more stress feeding into credit -
"Kwasi Kwarteng’s ‘mini budget’ will be remembered like a forklift truck disaster video"
1 year ago
Welshcake sees the funny side as bunga bunga returns -
"Short memories forget how rampant anti-EU sentiment was before Mario Draghi became Italy’s prime minister"
1 year ago
Unrest in Italy threatens to escalate into a bigger crisis than Greece in 2012 -
Real estate is about to get real bad: Welshcake
1 year ago
The extent of disconnect between real estate and what other markets have been experiencing is enough to convince me a whole other layer of economic mayhem is on the way. But investors in credit, for all their current pain, could still end up shining if they are prepared -
"The shutdown of economies in the pandemic showed it’s better to suffer up front"
1 year ago
Rather than prolong the agony, central banks would be better off bunching their planned rate hikes into one -
"It’ll take something special to drag my attention away from Depp/Heard, but Jerome Powell could just do it"
1 year ago
It’s not easy letting go of the past, but May heralds the start of something new in credit -
"Faltering oil supply is lamentable at a time of strategic and moral shortfall"
2 years ago
We need to accept the pain and cut dependence on Russian oil today -
From one nation of yellow flowers to another: we are with you
2 years ago
It is Saint David's Day, the biggest day in the Welsh calendar. Today it is not a celebration but a call to action -
"Credit investors should interpret 100,000 Russian troops on the Ukrainian border as worth pricing in"
2 years ago
Welshcake tells credit portfolio managers to under-promise and over-deliver in 2022 -
"China can act how it wants and when it wants in curbing the ambitions of tech firms… but sell offs tend to be opportunities for new buyer
2 years ago
China's latest moves to rein in private enterprise with new rules for education providers have certainly intensified the regulation risk landscape - but Welshcake asks whether this forthrightness could be instructive -
"Pain is on the way: spreads are too tight, while compression and carry are done. But what if it's not?"
2 years ago
Welshcake reminds us that mid-cycle portfolio management is a funny old game -
"In the afternoon I awoke from a pile of willow leaves to discover we had created a Welsh ether-based token"
2 years ago
A localised crypto-currency boom and bust cycle teaches Welshcake (again) that everything becomes correlated in a downturn -
CLO guys shouldn't feel quite as self-important as us Welsh... But you are in a pretty amazing spot
3 years ago
CLO portfolio managers should be emboldened by recent events to push for ESG strategies -
Cessation of activity mid-December is an opportunity to switch off… and let the mind wander
3 years ago
Welshcake is grateful for a lull in credit markets. The downtime has inspired him to dream up a CLO play -
I foresee various spooky spectacles hitting our screens - and your long portfolios
3 years ago
Welshcake is settling in for a horror movie marathon. But in the previews he sees monsters lurking behind tight credit spreads -
2020 is a massive opportunity for change - and clinging to past achievements won't wash
3 years ago
Statues don’t serve much of a purpose. It’s time to move on — and credit investors can and should be part of the movement -
Don’t get too comfortable. The truth is there are hundreds of things that could be catalysts for a sell-off
4 years ago
Just because there’s no obvious sign of a sell-off, doesn’t mean it’s not going to happen. Often, market moves defy logic -
The question is not whether CLOs are too dangerous, but what more they could and should be doing
4 years ago
Contrary to recent headlines, CLOs could be the tool which help reduce the rate of climate change -
It may seem a bit rich for Welshcake to tell staid CLO investors they need to be more sensible
4 years ago
Bespokes are the next big thing — and you’d be wise to get involved -
Helicopter money is more productive than sponsoring the next bout of company share buybacks
4 years ago
The ECB is set to recommence its asset purchase programme, but what’s wrong with putting money directly into the hands of people? -
Welshcake: Sirius has made a strong move in CDS - if it hits the right targets
4 years ago
The most tragic of human traits is the proclivity for our inventions to come back and bite us -
Don't worry about CDS, CLOs or excess leverage - it's a day of celebration
5 years ago
The market cycle is going to turn and something will go badly wrong. But guaranteed it won’t be any of the things in credit you keep reading about
22 results found Showing page 1 of 1
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