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"Dispersion should manifest in potential fallen angel credits that are likely to proliferate"
1 year ago
IG and crossover names present a compelling alternative to shorting HY credit -
“Pension fund managers should look to take advantage of a rare opportunity in corporate CDS”
1 year ago
The October sell-off in gilts highlights a glaring lack of exposure to CDS -
"Value persists in IG, but higher interest rates are a threat. Opening the synthetic toolbox can help"
1 year ago
Fiscal and monetary policy are pulling in opposite directions, but value in IG can be accessed via CDS and CSOs -
"Short memories forget how rampant anti-EU sentiment was before Mario Draghi became Italy’s prime minister"
1 year ago
Unrest in Italy threatens to escalate into a bigger crisis than Greece in 2012 -
"The shutdown of economies in the pandemic showed it’s better to suffer up front"
2 years ago
Rather than prolong the agony, central banks would be better off bunching their planned rate hikes into one -
"Derivative longs versus cash corporate shorts looks attractive, especially if we see a market sell-off"
2 years ago
Technicals are keeping cash credit spreads tight, but as central banks reduce purchases there will be relative value opportunities -
That’s another fine mezz I’d like to get into
2 years ago
Structural protection and flatter curves make short-dated mezz tranches attractive. Speakers at Credit Dimensions discuss which positions they’d take in CSOs, options and tranches this year -
"The loan market is the septic tank for sub-single B LBO financing"
2 years ago
Portfolios of single name IG CDS are less complex and more liquid than CLOs -
"Pivot points in curves may not stay where they have been historically"
2 years ago
CTAs and CSOs are changing the way credit curves move -
"There are concerns about volatile sectors in high yield, but IG may be vulnerable to macro changes"
2 years ago
High yield has heavier exposure to energy and travel credits, but IG has more rate duration -
"In the afternoon I awoke from a pile of willow leaves to discover we had created a Welsh ether-based token"
3 years ago
A localised crypto-currency boom and bust cycle teaches Welshcake (again) that everything becomes correlated in a downturn -
Past returns: Having a whale of a time in tranches
3 years ago
In Creditflux 10 years ago we reported on JP Morgan’s “little known prop book” making waves in index tranches -
Points up front: The flattest term curve - work anniversary rewards
3 years ago
If you think CLO term curves are flat with a handful of basis points between three and five-year triple A CLOs, then you haven’t seen anything yet -
"Watch the IG credit curve — we may see steepening of IG 5s10s and flattening of 10s30s"
3 years ago
Stimulus measures are supporting short tenors, and pension demand for 30-year paper is strong, so 10-year IG credit may have few buyers -
I foresee various spooky spectacles hitting our screens - and your long portfolios
3 years ago
Welshcake is settling in for a horror movie marathon. But in the previews he sees monsters lurking behind tight credit spreads -
Gaining exposure to US IG credit through the index means giving up about 10% of potential value
3 years ago
A bespoke portfolio of IG credits can take advantage of the skew between indices and single names -
They said it: "Imagine a garden party and all of a sudden a big wasp shows up"
3 years ago
On Creditflux’s US CLO webinar last month, Napier Park’s head of US CLO investments Serhan Secmen described the March sell-off as a garden party -
CLO investors should be able to see live secondary trading levels
4 years ago
Olga Chernova of Sancus Capital takes our credit quiz -
You need a balanced portfolio that’s ready for calculated risk taking — so consider a barbell approach
4 years ago
Investors can’t afford to be too conservative as they prepare for the end of the cycle -
Farewell Mike
4 years ago
After two decades, Mike Peterson, the founder and long-time editor of Creditflux, is moving on. -
It may seem a bit rich for Welshcake to tell staid CLO investors they need to be more sensible
4 years ago
Bespokes are the next big thing — and you’d be wise to get involved -
Helicopter money is more productive than sponsoring the next bout of company share buybacks
4 years ago
The ECB is set to recommence its asset purchase programme, but what’s wrong with putting money directly into the hands of people? -
The resolution of narrowly tailored credit events is a leap forward for the CDS market
5 years ago
Isda is replacing the mechanistic determination of a failure-to-pay credit event with a more subjective rule -
Past returns: Oh brother, where art thou?
5 years ago
10 years ago in Creditflux, we reported on perhaps the single biggest moment in the history of the credit market as Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy and subsequently disappeared -
Past returns: secret CLO market
5 years ago
Five years ago in Creditflux, we reported on the emergence of an inter-dealer market for CLOs
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