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ESG initiatives should avoid unfavourable reactions by pursuing substance over form
7 months ago
By any financial measure, the collaboration of trans activist Dylan Mulvaney with Bud Light hurt the brand. What was formerly America’s best-selling beer saw its market share collapse — from over 35% in May 2023 to around 9% in June — because of a boycott by US conservatives after a 60-second TikTok video aired of Mulvaney drinking it. -
Fed members need to restore their credibility, which could translate into excessive tightening
9 months ago
Rising wages have boosted spending and GDP — but the party can’t last forever -
"Dispersion should manifest in potential fallen angel credits that are likely to proliferate"
1 year ago
IG and crossover names present a compelling alternative to shorting HY credit -
"All that remains is to thank all of you who have kept faith with my monthly confessions of insanity"
1 year ago
With the economic outlook now beyond a joke, Welshcake signs off amid denials he is actually a Welsh footballer -
“Pension fund managers should look to take advantage of a rare opportunity in corporate CDS”
1 year ago
The October sell-off in gilts highlights a glaring lack of exposure to CDS -
"This ‘higher rates for longer’ saga is more like the 1920-21 depression than the 1970s high inflation era"
1 year ago
Sometimes you have to swallow your medicine and take a step back to go forwards -
"Forget the World Cup, the macro-economic catastrophe cup has more well-matched contenders"
1 year ago
Government bonds are rallying in some quarters, but the odds are on more stress feeding into credit -
"Kwasi Kwarteng’s ‘mini budget’ will be remembered like a forklift truck disaster video"
1 year ago
Welshcake sees the funny side as bunga bunga returns -
"The shutdown of economies in the pandemic showed it’s better to suffer up front"
2 years ago
Rather than prolong the agony, central banks would be better off bunching their planned rate hikes into one -
We’ll get through this awkward patch
2 years ago
Wide liabilities have made pricing CLOs trickier in the past few months. But speakers at Creditflux’s CLO Symposium were optimistic that the arbitrage is OK — so long as you can place those triple As -
"It’ll take something special to drag my attention away from Depp/Heard, but Jerome Powell could just do it"
2 years ago
It’s not easy letting go of the past, but May heralds the start of something new in credit -
"Derivative longs versus cash corporate shorts looks attractive, especially if we see a market sell-off"
2 years ago
Technicals are keeping cash credit spreads tight, but as central banks reduce purchases there will be relative value opportunities -
Points up front: "It’s all me, me, me"
2 years ago
A study last month by the University of Marburg found that narcissistic fund managers are up to 34% more likely to deviate from their advertised investment style, and they tend to underperform non-narcissists. -
"Faltering oil supply is lamentable at a time of strategic and moral shortfall"
2 years ago
We need to accept the pain and cut dependence on Russian oil today -
"Strong growth is not necessary for good loan or bond performance, but it keeps a recession at bay"
2 years ago
The picture in credit was looking good (even with inflation rising) until Russia invaded Ukraine -
They said it: "The third term is Jinping’s legacy..."
2 years ago
... He does not care about near-term growth." -
"Credit investors should interpret 100,000 Russian troops on the Ukrainian border as worth pricing in"
2 years ago
Welshcake tells credit portfolio managers to under-promise and over-deliver in 2022 -
"If omicron paradoxically lowers the temperature of the market, that may be no bad thing"
2 years ago
The global economy is well protected against omicron — and a mild infection may be beneficial -
"Growth in credit products lets investors express sector-specific views as dispersion ticks higher"
2 years ago
Investors can use ETFs, volatility dispersion swaps or even bond baskets to trade dispersion -
Points up front: Definitely not an ex-parrot
2 years ago
One of the biggest credit fund launches last month was Arini, led by star credit trader Hamza Lemssouguer -
"If ESG funds only talk the talk, it is because investors, legislators and regulators don’t walk the walk"
2 years ago
Whatever an ESG fund means to you, it probably means something different to the next investor -
The Creditflux CLO Symposium was back as an in-person event for the first time in two years and participants were delighted to socialise and bask in an amazing year for the credit industry2 years ago
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"There are concerns about volatile sectors in high yield, but IG may be vulnerable to macro changes"
2 years ago
High yield has heavier exposure to energy and travel credits, but IG has more rate duration -
Points up front: Tasty vaccine giveaway
2 years ago
Asset manager Vanguard is welcoming employees back to the office by offering a $1,000 bonus to staff who are fully vaccinated by October -
"Pain is on the way: spreads are too tight, while compression and carry are done. But what if it's not?"
2 years ago
Welshcake reminds us that mid-cycle portfolio management is a funny old game
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