IACPM survey finds credit PMs still gloomy, but less so than last quarter
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey are still negative about future credit conditions, but less so than in previous surveys

Credit hedge funds
Credit hedge funds

Credit funds at a glance
Credit funds at a glance

Credit PMs remain gloomy in latest IACPM survey
Survey participants in the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey believe the euphoria seen in global financial markets during the last few months of 2023 was overdone

Fund performance
Positive August for credit sees CLO funds on top again

Credit hedge funds
Credit hedge funds performance data

New IACPM survey points to a global recession
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey overwhelmingly expect global economies to fall into recession either later this year or sometime in 2024.

Credit Rendezvous: Make yourself comfortable, there’s a storm coming
In our Q1 outlook, we speak to Edwin Wilches, PGIM (US CLOs), Mikkel Sckerl and Flemming Dose, Capital Four (European CLOs),  Jim Fitzpatrick, CQS (US loans), Loic Prevot, Polus (European loans), Madelaine Jones, Oaktree (global high yield), Art Penn, Pennant Park (US direct lending), Mattis Poetter, Arcmont (European direct lending), Keerthi Raghavan, Waterfall (structured credit), Ray Costa, Benefit Street (distressed), Grant Webster, Ninety One (Emerging markets), Oumar Diallo, Aeon (real assets) for their views for the upcoming quarter. 

Fund performance: Credit funds end difficult 2022 on a positive note
In December 66% of credit funds reached a positive return, following an even better November where 81% of all funds pushed into the black

Credit funds at a glance (February 2023)
A round up of people moves and fundraising

European and Asian surge extends as inflation and gas improvements fuel rally
US credit remains the laggard as spreads elsewhere extend their strong start to the year, taking European and Asian indices back to the recent tight levels

Brighter start for credit in 2023 as investors return with bid for risk
Credit markets have opened the year on a positive footing, with Europe particularly buoyant as investors lift CDS hedges they placed at the end of 2022 and some bonds receive enthusiastic bids in the secondary market

Largarde snowballs puncture complacent calm and shocks spreads wider
Credit markets are ending the week on a big push wider, after European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde delivered the surprise that had been missing from other central bank messaging

Credit belatedly gives up gains after flurry of central bank hikes
Credit markets barely flickered on Wednesday’s US Federal Reserve announcements, but successive central bank rate hikes on Thursday have caused spreads to widen as traders prepare for the festive season slowdown

CDS volume jumps by 50% as investors seek new ways to do business
Credit derivatives traders are wrapping up a bumper year, in which there was a big increase in volume and a growing number of use cases for the product

Fund performance: Light at the end of the tunnel for credit funds after difficult year
Following a tough September, credit funds bounced back in October as 59% of funds made positive returns.

Credit hedge fund returns (December 2023)
Credit hedge fund returns

Credit funds at a glance (December 2023)
A round up of fundraising and people moves in credit

Major fund withdrawals undermine credit momentum
Credit funds are extending their run of inflows into the end of the year, but investment grade momentum took a dent last week due to investors in one big fund pulling their money

Credit and commodities diverge after China abandons zero-covid approach
Markets present a mixed picture at the start of the week, with Europe – still processing Friday’s US jobs numbers – opening cautiously after China’s retreat from strict zero-covid policies boosts commodity prices but raises fears of an infection wave

Rebuke for optimism as US jobs send market bulls running for cover
Investors’ determination to maintain an optimistic outlook on US Federal Reserve policy hit a point of reckoning on Friday, with hot US jobs numbers adding weight to committee members’ message that there is still a lot more work for them to do

Powell outlook brings risk buyers out in droves, but reality check looks soon to follow
Comments by US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday on the pace of future rate hikes have prompted a sharp rally across global financial markets, including credit. But dissenting voices have already begun to point out the enthusiasm is likely overdone

Europe regains momentum versus US despite bank concerns
European outperformance is extending this week, taking investment grade and high yield spreads alike to their tightest prints since June relative to their US peers. But Credit Suisse remains a blot on Europe’s record as the bank’s short term risk levels continue a worrying trend

Credit Suisse slumps in bleak Monday, but high yield name sharply bucks trend
Financial markets are beginning the week on an uncertain footing, with anti-covid lockdown protests in China hitting commodity prices hard. But one European high yield company has bucked credit’s widening push with a massive rally

Credit Suisse tests investor nerves as market preps for Fed-focused week
Credit Suisse, which has been subjected to another week of intense scrutiny, is heading into the weekend with its credit spreads extending wider, after warning on losses and undertaking a capital hike