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Dispersion begets dispersion in mixed bag of fund returns
2 years ago
Idiosyncratic risks are set to rise in credit, with fund managers becoming occupied with tail risks, and that has been seen in a scattered set of March hedge fund returns -
Credit Rendezvous: Pass masters
2 years ago
Most often, a credit market downturn has its roots mired in one big, blatant obstacle that credit managers have to focus their attention to overcome. But right now, it’s not the dominant risk factor that has to be defeated, it’s the sheer number of them... -
German property co hits new wides as investors scrutinise investigation report
2 years ago
The bearish momentum that gripped financial markets on Friday has spilled over the weekend into Monday's session, with an especially big move in the debt of one German real estate borrower taking it to worrisome spread levels -
Potential failure to pay has occurred on Russian CDS, says Determinations Committee
2 years ago
The Russian Federation is moving closer to triggering a credit event on foreign debt, with the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee having ruled a potential failure to pay has occurred -
RusRail no-auction vote means CDS holders must track down bonds
2 years ago
Russian Railways CDS contracts will not be settled via auction despite the borrower having triggered a failure-to-pay credit event, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has ruled -
DC accepts request to rule on Russian repudiation / moratorium
2 years ago
The Russian Federation is subject to credit event scrutiny over warnings it could repay foreign bond investors in rubles, with the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee agreeing to rule on a 'potential repudiation / moratorium' question -
Russia debt hits default levels amid FX and asset lock-up
2 years ago
Russia appears to be on the brink of default on its debt, with bonds and CDS pricing in the likelihood of an imminent trigger -
Ukraine crisis takes EU and Russian markets into new territory
2 years ago
Credit spreads went back to the wides again on Monday, after the European Union intensified its pressure on the Russian economy and reached an unprecedented agreement to supply Ukraine with weapons -
French co rattles investors on micro level as Russia overclouds macro
2 years ago
After a cautious opening, investors in the European credit market have resumed hedging as western leaders continue to talk up the prospect of Russia invading Ukraine and the Kremlin has dismissed hopes of a Biden-Putin summit as premature -
Heavy market rout takes credit back to November 2020 levels
2 years ago
High volatility is gripping financial markets at the end of a week that has been decisively bearish for credit spreads, as concerns about the end of central bank stimulus and warnings of a Russian invasion of Ukraine next month layer on pain for investors -
Credit Rendezvous: the upside of inflation
2 years ago
It is clear, inflation is not transitory and central banks are acting with several interest rate hikes likely in store for the US this year. That makes loans and CLO debt tranches attractive, but there could be opportunities beyond these floating rate assets -
See what's next: Netflix gives whole market a chill
2 years ago
Financial markets look set to end the week once again on a bearish trajectory, with fears over consumer confidence and company earnings helping take credit spreads back to their widest levels since the start of December -
Ukraine and Russia volatility steps up amid political trial and conflict fears
2 years ago
Ukrainian and Russian spreads are among the market's biggest movers at the start of the week, as developing tensions between the two countries ramp up another notch and former Ukrainian president Petro Poroshenko has arrived in Kyiv to face treason charges -
Caution returns to credit trading following tech sector rout
2 years ago
After a strong Tuesday session, financial markets are taking a more cautious step back on Wednesday amid returning inflation concerns and following a weak session for Chinese tech stocks -
Aoyuan CDS needs physical settlement as credit event fails auction liquidity rule
2 years ago
Holders of CDS referencing China Aoyuan will have to physically settle contracts, the Determinations Committee has confirmed, given a lack of depth to markets for the entity -
Determinations Committee agrees to rule on first credit event question in 10 months
2 years ago
Credit event triggers are back on the market's list of discussion points for the first time since February, with the Determinations Committee having agreed to rule on an Asian failure to pay question -
Traders hunt for Monday bargains in Black Friday debris
2 years ago
The turmoil of Black Friday has given way to a counter-wise move on Monday, with financial markets latching onto scraps of hope over the weekend following the panic of a newly discovered covid-19 variant -
US travel, energy and retail credits take big hit as variant rout extends
2 years ago
The widening trend in credit is extending as the weekend approaches, with US spreads picking up the baton from Europe's earlier surge -
Real estate relief boosts high yield but retail rout gathers pace
2 years ago
A mixed week for credit has taken German real estate company Adler back to safer levels while sending two supermarket retailers further into the realms of most risky in the iTraxx Crossover universe -
Credit Rendezvous: Credit spins full circle
2 years ago
The third quarter was massive in terms of volumes with CLOs, high yield, leverage loans and private equity registering record issuance. But credit spreads were up and down as inflation fears, crackdowns in China and rising coronavirus cases became catalysts for risk-off sentiment in July and September -
Investors shrug at new Evergrande bond deadline a week on from roll havoc
2 years ago
Chinese real estate giant Evergrande looks unlikely to meet a $45 million bond payment due on Wednesday despite reports it plans to sell a $1.5 billion commercial bank stake. But credit markets are showing very little reaction despite initial default concerns having up-ended CDS index rolls only last week -
Credit hedge funds (August 2021)
2 years ago
Credit hedge fund returns -
Credit Rendezvous: And breathe...
2 years ago
The unanimous verdict is that credit spreads will be moving wider – they have to. But the difficulty credit fund managers face is predicting when the next sell-off comes and how sharp it will be. In the Q3 instalment of Creditflux’s Credit Rendezvous, the over-riding message from portfolio managers is that there’s little point in taking on too much risk. The report features the views of prominent credit figures including Paul Horvath (Orchard), Himani Trivedi (Nuveen), Ronnie Jaber (Onex), Graham Rainbow (Alcentra) and Michelle Russell-Dowe (Schroders). The report looks at 14 segments of the market including CLOs, direct lending, leveraged loans, distressed debt and credit derivatives. -
Credit Rendezvous: ready and waiting
3 years ago
In Creditflux's quarterly review of credit, portfolio managers tell us that Inflation is likely to nudge higher but they are optimistic because dispersion will pick up and windows of volatility will emerge, rather than elongated phases of stress -
Roll pushes indices wider but fair value trumps technical positioning
3 years ago
Several CDS indices rolled into new series on Monday, with all of them adding spread over the outgoing versions due to added duration as well as composition changes
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