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Capex and real yields will split winners from losers in '23: BofA
1 year ago
Companies able to undertake capital expenditure will be the winners in 2023, while those historically most sensitive to rising real yields should inspire caution, say Bank of America strategists -
Financials offer relative value opportunities after synthetic credit overshoot: BNP Paribas
1 year ago
A technical squeeze, driven by investor risk appetite but also short covering, has taken some parts of the synthetic credit to a point where cash bonds look to offer better relative value -
High yield markets win big in 2022’s love-letter to CDS
1 year ago
Tradeable credit assets have suffered a rough year for liquidity and returns, but credit derivatives are among a small group of products defiantly enjoying a bumper year. -
Credit faces blind spot as borrowers enter higher default cycle: BNP Paribas
1 year ago
With short term rates outstripping nominal GDP growth, the credit cycle is entering its next and final stage – one in which corporate defaults will pick up but high quality borrowers should outperform -
Credit investors find bright spots in gloomy outlook: Credit Rendezvous Q4 2022
1 year ago
Clouds are looming over financial markets as the fourth quarter begins — so investors are moving away from diversified approaches in favour of tailored investments and relative value plays -
One-year CSOs come to fore as investors predict widening
1 year ago
With credit spreads entering the fourth quarter at much the same elevated levels they began Q3, investors are increasingly looking to bespoke tranches as a way of taking advantage while mitigating the market’s tail risks. -
Convertibles head for recovery after six months stuck in gridlock
1 year ago
Having suffered their worst first half on record, convertible bonds are due better performance if only on mean reversion -
Go long duration in consumers and industrials: BofA
1 year ago
The year’s wides still lie ahead in the second half, but China reopening is bullish for consumer and industrial spreads and investors should extend duration in high-quality credit, according to Bank of America strategists -
CLO spreads are not pricing in recession: JP Morgan
1 year ago
CLOs are priced fairly for a growth slowdown but not a recession, according to JP Morgan credit strategists, who warn spreads are at risk if US growth contracts -
Real estate is about to get real bad: Welshcake
1 year ago
The extent of disconnect between real estate and what other markets have been experiencing is enough to convince me a whole other layer of economic mayhem is on the way. But investors in credit, for all their current pain, could still end up shining if they are prepared -
Duration, decompression and dispersion disconnects grow
1 year ago
Investors’ reassessment of the time they may need to hold on to positions — as well as the limited opportunity for some borrowers to access new capital — are adding to a growing list of factors causing credit market prices to disconnect -
"Derivative longs versus cash corporate shorts looks attractive, especially if we see a market sell-off"
1 year ago
Technicals are keeping cash credit spreads tight, but as central banks reduce purchases there will be relative value opportunities -
Credit Rendezvous: Pass masters
2 years ago
Most often, a credit market downturn has its roots mired in one big, blatant obstacle that credit managers have to focus their attention to overcome. But right now, it’s not the dominant risk factor that has to be defeated, it’s the sheer number of them... -
Bond pipeline builds as rocky markets thwart supply
2 years ago
Various factors have played into credit spreads widening at the start of 2022, but an over-supply of bond issuance is not one of them — in contrast to what was moving the market this time last year -
ESG template fires up hopes of CSO issuance
2 years ago
2021 may not have been a year of big volume in the synthetic bespoke market, but primary business is back, and decisive inroads into environmental, social and governance (ESG)-focused issuance bode well for 2022 -
Loans will be winners in bearish year for credit: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Floating rate loans are best positioned for a year of widening credit spreads, but high yield bonds will outperform investment grade and EM credit is set for losses, says BNP Paribas in its 2022 outlook -
Citadel promotes credit head to co-CIO
2 years ago
Citadel has promoted its global credit head to co-chief investment officer -
There's still time to pick up pennies in credit before steamroller arrives: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Declining dealer inventories, rising fund cash balances, and a greater prevalence of hedging have added up to produce a credit market that is positioned too short, according to BNP Paribas strategists -
Zais and BNP Paribas strike ESG breakthrough with climate change CSO
2 years ago
The growing theme of environmental, social and governance standards helping to revitalise the market for collateralised synthetic obligations appears to have taken a big step forward, with Zais Group and BNP Paribas partnering on a first-of-its-kind deal that could lay a template for future transactions -
Long duration high yield will overcome short-term rates carnage, says BofA
2 years ago
Bonds with inflation-protected real yield, longer duration, and especially those in the utilities sector are among the most compelling trades amid a phase of ‘policy paranoia’, according to Bank of America credit strategists -
"Purchasing IG CLO debt was a key driver of success for 1.0 CLOs"
2 years ago
Longer reinvestment periods, the ability to buy IG tranches and improved loan settlements would improve CLOs -
Triple Bs gain momentum as IG buyers pick best spots
2 years ago
The absolute tightness of credit spreads has led many to lament their chances of delivering strong returns in 2021, while stressing the need to move down either the quality or duration curve. But even within investment grade, European and US managers are still finding pockets of value -
Credit Rendezvous: And breathe...
2 years ago
The unanimous verdict is that credit spreads will be moving wider – they have to. But the difficulty credit fund managers face is predicting when the next sell-off comes and how sharp it will be. In the Q3 instalment of Creditflux’s Credit Rendezvous, the over-riding message from portfolio managers is that there’s little point in taking on too much risk. The report features the views of prominent credit figures including Paul Horvath (Orchard), Himani Trivedi (Nuveen), Ronnie Jaber (Onex), Graham Rainbow (Alcentra) and Michelle Russell-Dowe (Schroders). The report looks at 14 segments of the market including CLOs, direct lending, leveraged loans, distressed debt and credit derivatives. -
Novicap tech platform targets credit investors with fundraising drive
2 years ago
Novicap, a fintech company offering working capital optimisation solutions to SMEs and mid-market corporates, is looking to debt capital markets participants such as credit and structured credit funds, asset managers, pension companies and insurers as it seeks to raise third-party funding for its credit platform -
It's all relative: Euro CLO mezz rallies to follow month-long IG/HY compression
3 years ago
European credit suffered this week with Brexit talks between the UK and the EU dragging on and both sides conceding that a trade deal is unlikely to be reached by Sunday’s deadline. But European CLO tranches have held up reasonably well with mezzanine spreads tightening by almost 13% in December
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