AB Carval joins 2024 pipeline
AB CarVal has foreshadowed its first deal of 2024 with the announcement of marketing materials for CarVal CLO IX-C, a USD 508.3m BSL CLO arranged by Deutsche Bank

CSO momentum builds as focus turns to fundamentals
Collateralised synthetic obligations (CSOs) have proved to be a bright part of the credit market in 2022. And participants are daring to dream the coming year will be one of the asset’s busiest.

Capex and real yields will split winners from losers in '23: BofA
Companies able to undertake capital expenditure will be the winners in 2023, while those historically most sensitive to rising real yields should inspire caution, say Bank of America strategists

High yield markets win big in 2022’s love-letter to CDS
Tradeable credit assets have suffered a rough year for liquidity and returns, but credit derivatives are among a small group of products defiantly enjoying a bumper year. 

Credit faces blind spot as borrowers enter higher default cycle: BNP Paribas
With short term rates outstripping nominal GDP growth, the credit cycle is entering its next and final stage – one in which corporate defaults will pick up but high quality borrowers should outperform

One-year CSOs come to fore as investors predict widening
With credit spreads entering the fourth quarter at much the same elevated levels they began Q3, investors are increasingly looking to bespoke tranches as a way of taking advantage while mitigating the market’s tail risks.

Go long duration in consumers and industrials: BofA
The year’s wides still lie ahead in the second half, but China reopening is bullish for consumer and industrial spreads and investors should extend duration in high-quality credit, according to Bank of America strategists

"The shutdown of economies in the pandemic showed it’s better to suffer up front"
Rather than prolong the agony, central banks would be better off bunching their planned rate hikes into one    

Duration, decompression and dispersion disconnects grow
Investors’ reassessment of the time they may need to hold on to positions — as well as the limited opportunity for some borrowers to access new capital — are adding to a growing list of factors causing credit market prices to disconnect

Wide yields mean high times again for corporate hybrids
Prolonged disruption in financial markets has painted an ever-bleaker picture for credit fund returns and flows in 2022

"Derivative longs versus cash corporate shorts looks attractive, especially if we see a market sell-off"
Technicals are keeping cash credit spreads tight, but as central banks reduce purchases there will be relative value opportunities

High stakes promise big year for new short-dated CSOs
The bespoke tranche market looks set to put in revitalised issuance numbers in 2022 as interest grows in structured assets. But a clear trend is emerging for investors to assume short-dated exposure amid increasing macro and geopolitical uncertainty

Bond pipeline builds as rocky markets thwart supply
Various factors have played into credit spreads widening at the start of 2022, but an over-supply of bond issuance is not one of them — in contrast to what was moving the market this time last year

ESG template fires up hopes of CSO issuance
2021 may not have been a year of big volume in the synthetic bespoke market, but primary business is back, and decisive inroads into environmental, social and governance (ESG)-focused issuance bode well for 2022

Citadel promotes credit head to co-CIO
Citadel has promoted its global credit head to co-chief investment officer

There's still time to pick up pennies in credit before steamroller arrives: BNP Paribas
Declining dealer inventories, rising fund cash balances, and a greater prevalence of hedging have added up to produce a credit market that is positioned too short, according to BNP Paribas strategists

Zais and BNP Paribas strike ESG breakthrough with climate change CSO
The growing theme of environmental, social and governance standards helping to revitalise the market for collateralised synthetic obligations appears to have taken a big step forward, with Zais Group and BNP Paribas partnering on a first-of-its-kind deal that could lay a template for future transactions

Long duration high yield will overcome short-term rates carnage, says BofA
Bonds with inflation-protected real yield, longer duration, and especially those in the utilities sector are among the most compelling trades amid a phase of ‘policy paranoia’, according to Bank of America credit strategists

Rising stars will fuel double B boom, says BofA
A rising star cycle is underway and adds to a bullish outlook for double B credits with company results pointing to an ‘epic V-shaped recovery’ in high yield revenues and earnings, say Bank of America credit strategists

Triple Bs gain momentum as IG buyers pick best spots
The absolute tightness of credit spreads has led many to lament their chances of delivering strong returns in 2021, while stressing the need to move down either the quality or duration curve. But even within investment grade, European and US managers are still finding pockets of value

Credit Rendezvous: And breathe...
The unanimous verdict is that credit spreads will be moving wider – they have to. But the difficulty credit fund managers face is predicting when the next sell-off comes and how sharp it will be. In the Q3 instalment of Creditflux’s Credit Rendezvous, the over-riding message from portfolio managers is that there’s little point in taking on too much risk. The report features the views of prominent credit figures including Paul Horvath (Orchard), Himani Trivedi (Nuveen), Ronnie Jaber (Onex), Graham Rainbow (Alcentra) and Michelle Russell-Dowe (Schroders). The report looks at 14 segments of the market including CLOs, direct lending, leveraged loans, distressed debt and credit derivatives.  

It's all relative: CLO spreads explore record tights as credit indices hit impasse
CLO spreads are grinding to ever tighter levels, despite a flattish week for credit in which corporate credit indices have ended up more or less unchanged