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New IACPM survey points to a global recession
10 months ago
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey overwhelmingly expect global economies to fall into recession either later this year or sometime in 2024. -
We pulled back because yields didn’t seem to match the risk. Now it’s better
11 months ago
During visits to Melbourne and Sydney last month, conversations with clients and friends about private debt revealed important contexts to understanding how investors there think about the asset class. -
Credit and commodities diverge after China abandons zero-covid approach
1 year ago
Markets present a mixed picture at the start of the week, with Europe – still processing Friday’s US jobs numbers – opening cautiously after China’s retreat from strict zero-covid policies boosts commodity prices but raises fears of an infection wave -
Powell outlook brings risk buyers out in droves, but reality check looks soon to follow
1 year ago
Comments by US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday on the pace of future rate hikes have prompted a sharp rally across global financial markets, including credit. But dissenting voices have already begun to point out the enthusiasm is likely overdone -
UK nerves rattle Europe/US relative value trades, as Hunt seeks to reassure investors
1 year ago
A palpable mood of trepidation on Thursday around the UK’s autumn budget has brought widening of credit spreads, with European indices giving back gains they have made in recent sessions versus their US counterparts -
China property rescue plan keeps credit on front foot
1 year ago
China’s policy shift on covid rules and measures to prop up its ailing property market have brought a buoyant start to the week, despite financial markets having already rallied sharply last week -
Asia credit rallies sharply but rest of world holds firm ahead of Fed
1 year ago
While most of the global financial market hangs in the balance, Asian credit has undergone a second day of relief rallying having hit the year’s peak on 31 October -
Europe leads broad rally amid speculation on softening rates timeline
1 year ago
After a cautious start to the week, credit markets have rallied ahead of policy decisions by the US Federal Reserve and Bank of England, amid growing investor anticipation of a slowdown in rate hikes as well as hope of a reopening Chinese economy -
Creditflux CLO Census entries near 300 with just two days left to vote
1 year ago
The sixth instalment of Creditflux’s CLO Census is officially the biggest ever with 295 market participants taking part in the CLO industry’s most comprehensive survey -
European credit returns to peak covid levels with UK getting pounded
1 year ago
What looks set to be another challenging week for financial markets has opened as bearishly as last week ended, with credit spreads in Asia and Europe once again surging to new wides -
Surge in hedging sends credit spreads to year's wides
1 year ago
A busy and bearish week is ending with credit spreads surging beyond their previous widest levels of the year, with Italian elections this weekend adding to caution in Europe after a string of central bank policy decisions reshaped the global economic outlook and the UK government scrambled to address rising energy costs -
Russia and Ukraine debt recovery outlooks diverge as DC publishes auction lists
1 year ago
The credit event auction to settle Russian sovereign CDS will have eight bonds deliverable, while 15 bonds have made it onto a preliminary list for Ukraine’s auction -
Russia credit event auction starts to firm up as DC mulls settlement options
1 year ago
Russian Federation sovereign CDS will be settled in the first half of September, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has said. But settlement restrictions still require further discussion -
Spreads retreat ahead of pivotal US inflation report
1 year ago
Investors are holding their breath on Wednesday ahead of the latest US inflation numbers, with any change from last month’s reading likely to dictate a sizeable move in financials markets -
Relief rally extends despite US and EU sending mixed signals on recession
1 year ago
Growth and inflation data on Friday has added impetus for the European Central Bank to maintain a hawkish stance at its September meeting, despite US signals suggesting that economy is in recession -
Mixed signals abound but European weakness persists
1 year ago
European financial markets are losing further ground against the US in a cautious start to the week, as the euro approaches parity with the dollar for the first time and latest data supports the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish approach to policy -
Europe vs US arb hits resistance as dislocation becomes more extreme
1 year ago
Recession fears have pushed several different asset classes to key psychological levels, while leaving European and US credit markets at a high level of dislocation -
Energy co joins Europe's choir of fallen angel candidates as spreads soar
1 year ago
The financial market sell-off is entering acceleration, with credit indices blowing to new psychological levels and a growing number of investment grade companies reaching high yield spreads -
JP Morgan holds place as CLO market's largest noteholder
1 year ago
JP Morgan remained the world's largest CLO noteholder at the end of the first quarter, with $59.69 billion invested in the asset class as of 31 March - an increase of $1.11 billion from year-end -
Fed hike speculation holds sway over Europe and Asia despite US holiday
1 year ago
Credit markets have opened the week marginally tighter, with Europe and Asia cautious on Monday in the absence of a US trading session, and US Federal Reserve statements likely to drive sentiment in the rest of the week -
Russian credit event auction plans put on hold after US sanctions update
1 year ago
Settlement of Russian Federation sovereign CDS has hit a delay, with the US having published updated advice on sanctions that could jeopardise the ability to conduct a credit event auction -
DC explains Russian credit event ruling - but not sole member opposition
1 year ago
Factors backing Russian Federation’s credit event trigger have been outlined by the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee, but without giving any explanation for Citi’s decision to vote against the decision -
Russia triggers failure-to-pay credit event
1 year ago
The Russian Federation has triggered a failure-to-pay credit event on sovereign bonds, the Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee has ruled – marking an historic moment that caps off a long run of deliberations on the country’s international debt since it invaded Ukraine on 24 February -
Asia sets pace for Europe as rally extends in US absence
1 year ago
Credit market investors have resumed their optimistic stance on Monday, buoyed by a weaker US dollar and China reopening its economy after lengthy covid-19 restrictions -
Credit Rendezvous: Pass masters
2 years ago
Most often, a credit market downturn has its roots mired in one big, blatant obstacle that credit managers have to focus their attention to overcome. But right now, it’s not the dominant risk factor that has to be defeated, it’s the sheer number of them...
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