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"Dispersion should manifest in potential fallen angel credits that are likely to proliferate"
1 year ago
IG and crossover names present a compelling alternative to shorting HY credit -
"All that remains is to thank all of you who have kept faith with my monthly confessions of insanity"
1 year ago
With the economic outlook now beyond a joke, Welshcake signs off amid denials he is actually a Welsh footballer -
“Pension fund managers should look to take advantage of a rare opportunity in corporate CDS”
1 year ago
The October sell-off in gilts highlights a glaring lack of exposure to CDS -
"This ‘higher rates for longer’ saga is more like the 1920-21 depression than the 1970s high inflation era"
1 year ago
Sometimes you have to swallow your medicine and take a step back to go forwards -
"Forget the World Cup, the macro-economic catastrophe cup has more well-matched contenders"
1 year ago
Government bonds are rallying in some quarters, but the odds are on more stress feeding into credit -
"The shutdown of economies in the pandemic showed it’s better to suffer up front"
1 year ago
Rather than prolong the agony, central banks would be better off bunching their planned rate hikes into one -
Points up front: Making a meal of the arb
1 year ago
Credit market participants are always looking at the best arbitrage opportunity and right now that seems to be at McDonald’s -
"It’ll take something special to drag my attention away from Depp/Heard, but Jerome Powell could just do it"
2 years ago
It’s not easy letting go of the past, but May heralds the start of something new in credit -
"Derivative longs versus cash corporate shorts looks attractive, especially if we see a market sell-off"
2 years ago
Technicals are keeping cash credit spreads tight, but as central banks reduce purchases there will be relative value opportunities -
Points up front: "It’s all me, me, me"
2 years ago
A study last month by the University of Marburg found that narcissistic fund managers are up to 34% more likely to deviate from their advertised investment style, and they tend to underperform non-narcissists. -
They said it: "The third term is Jinping’s legacy..."
2 years ago
... He does not care about near-term growth." -
"Credit investors should interpret 100,000 Russian troops on the Ukrainian border as worth pricing in"
2 years ago
Welshcake tells credit portfolio managers to under-promise and over-deliver in 2022 -
"If omicron paradoxically lowers the temperature of the market, that may be no bad thing"
2 years ago
The global economy is well protected against omicron — and a mild infection may be beneficial -
"Growth in credit products lets investors express sector-specific views as dispersion ticks higher"
2 years ago
Investors can use ETFs, volatility dispersion swaps or even bond baskets to trade dispersion -
Points up front: Definitely not an ex-parrot
2 years ago
One of the biggest credit fund launches last month was Arini, led by star credit trader Hamza Lemssouguer -
"If ESG funds only talk the talk, it is because investors, legislators and regulators don’t walk the walk"
2 years ago
Whatever an ESG fund means to you, it probably means something different to the next investor -
"There are concerns about volatile sectors in high yield, but IG may be vulnerable to macro changes"
2 years ago
High yield has heavier exposure to energy and travel credits, but IG has more rate duration -
"Pain is on the way: spreads are too tight, while compression and carry are done. But what if it's not?"
2 years ago
Welshcake reminds us that mid-cycle portfolio management is a funny old game -
"In the afternoon I awoke from a pile of willow leaves to discover we had created a Welsh ether-based token"
2 years ago
A localised crypto-currency boom and bust cycle teaches Welshcake (again) that everything becomes correlated in a downturn -
We say it: Creditflux salutes women in credit
3 years ago
The credit industry is blessed with many strong women and for this issue of Creditflux we’re exclusively hearing their voices across our news, analysis and columns -
CLO guys shouldn't feel quite as self-important as us Welsh... But you are in a pretty amazing spot
3 years ago
CLO portfolio managers should be emboldened by recent events to push for ESG strategies -
They said it: "I am extraordinarily proud of the firm I have helped build"
3 years ago
Apollo chief executive officer Leon Black announces he is stepping down. -
Cessation of activity mid-December is an opportunity to switch off… and let the mind wander
3 years ago
Welshcake is grateful for a lull in credit markets. The downtime has inspired him to dream up a CLO play -
I foresee various spooky spectacles hitting our screens - and your long portfolios
3 years ago
Welshcake is settling in for a horror movie marathon. But in the previews he sees monsters lurking behind tight credit spreads -
They said it: "We’re going to change the world of finance"
3 years ago
Big ambitions in blockchain
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