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Do defaults predict equity returns?
11 days ago
At first glance, recently redeemed European CLOs show some sort of correlation between final IRR and the number of defaults in their portfolio. But what other factors affect performance? -
The wall is coming down
6 months ago
Refis and extensions have greatly reduced the height of the maturity wall looming over European CLOs in the near term — but, further out, WAL test cushions remain critical -
CLO Census: It’s time to put the shop in order
6 months ago
After a lacklustre year for the CLO market, the 539 respondents to our comprehensive survey are increasingly calling for structural changes, from electronic trading to standardised documents -
Question your assumptions
10 months ago
Valuing CLO paper is complicated, and loan prepayments are one of the trickiest parts. When pricing a new issue CLO, the market generally assumes that 15-20% of loans will prepay their principal annually. This prepayment rate is important because it essentially determines the pace at which a CLO’s rated debt is paid off after the reinvestment period, when the CLO pays down its own principal. -
Treble top: CSAM wins best manager again
11 months ago
Returning to the Landmark Hotel in London, the 2023 Creditflux manager awards looked back at a year that saw the CLO market in flux. After the stability of 2021, the markets hit a rocky patch and US CLO triple As ranged from 110-290 basis points. -
Rope-a-dope brings knock-out returns
1 year ago
Post-pandemic US and European CLOs delivered mid-teen equity returns in 2022, despite a barrage of weak macroeconomic news and what could have been a heavyweight Libor mismatch -
We made the most of a tricky situation
The contrast between 2021 and the following 12 months could not have been starker. But although some heavy hitters remained on the sidelines, 94 US CLO managers priced new deals in 2022 -
Not every CLO can be a winner
The CLO industry has undeniably performed well enough to justify the plaudits it receives. But there will always be some unloved CLO tranches that slip into triple C territory -
Weren’t there more of us than this?
1 year ago
According to this year’s Creditflux CLO Census, the CLO industry is not feeling optimistic. Some investors have vanished and managers have not taken advantage of helpful market conditions -
Can someone call the triple A? We’ve stalled
1 year ago
CLO issuers are in need of AAA roadside assistance. Despite the emergence of new buyers, a lack of senior CLO investors — particularly US banks — has brought the primary market to a halt -
You seem familiar
1 year ago
The overlap between European CLOs has risen to 51.6%, but the largest issuers are only slightly more aligned to their peers at 55.19% — so bonds are proving to be an important differentiator -
Arb work pays off
2 years ago
With day-one arbitrage alone delivering projected CLO cash-on-cash returns of 20-25%, 2021 may have been the best year ever for equity investors — at least until CLO spreads began to widen -
HY fund is exception to rule of CLOs
2 years ago
CLO funds have had back-to-back years of outperformance versus credit, proving the asset class is a great place to invest, rain or shine. But a Wasserstein HY fund was the star performer in 2021 -
I’ll see your 2020 and raise you 2021
2 years ago
Discounted loans, Libor floors and bond flexibility helped make 2021 an even better year for CLO returns than 2020, as US CLOs distributed 15.54% and European CLOs paid 13.93% annualised -
These CLO docs could be better
2 years ago
It seems there’s not much to worry about if you’re in the CLO market. In Creditflux’s CLO Census, voters said docs should follow a template as Jefferies, AGL and Hayfin emerge as rising stars -
CLO wormhole opens as deal pricing blurs
2 years ago
The CLO prints you see today might have happened a month ago. No, we’re not travelling back in time. Instead, a trend toward locking in senior notes a month early is skewing market pricing -
Woah, we’re halfway there
3 years ago
Judging by the 2020 vintage, European CLO overlap is 50%. But varied approaches to holding bonds and the many loans managers turn down mean there are ways for issuers to outperform -
Moving fast pays off for hedge funds
3 years ago
2020 was an up and down year in credit, and credit hedge fund managers had to move quickly to capture opportunities from the dislocations that inevitably opened up -
Waiting for afters
3 years ago
Day one arb remains important, but last year there were opportunities aplenty in the secondary market, which put the onus on printing CLOs and waiting for the day after non-call periods expired -
Rolling the dice on Turkey and Italy
5 years ago
Gambling specialists with operations around the Mediterranean are facing political risks and currency falls – but there are opportunities to hit the jackpot if investors play their cards right -
Steelmakers forge links in face of overcapacity
Steel producers are the strongest they have been for many years and consolidations such as Thyssenkrupp Tata Steel should lead to savings, but surplus capacity remains an issue5 years ago -
Which flavour do you favour?
6 years ago
We asked four direct lenders for their opinions on four fictional European borrowers operating in software, food, consumer loans and retail – and found they had similar tastes. -
Payday: Investors go for broke on regulatory bet
6 years ago
New regulations could seriously hamper US payday lenders – but bond holders are betting the rules won’t be enacted -
Spotlight: Satellite operators - sending signals of distress
6 years ago
Satellite operators are trying to transmit optimistic messages – but they admit that prices for data services are falling
24 results found Showing page 1 of 1
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