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Question your assumptions
9 months ago
Valuing CLO paper is complicated, and loan prepayments are one of the trickiest parts. When pricing a new issue CLO, the market generally assumes that 15-20% of loans will prepay their principal annually. This prepayment rate is important because it essentially determines the pace at which a CLO’s rated debt is paid off after the reinvestment period, when the CLO pays down its own principal. -
Slow pace of loan prepayments increasing CLO tranche WAL, finds Barclays
10 months ago
Prepayment rates in the leveraged loan market have dropped to post-financial crisis lows, thereby increasing CLO debt tranches' weighted average life and slowing the pace of amortization for deals that have left reinvestment, according to new research published by Barclays -
Do amend and extends now before big chunk of CLOs exit reinvestment, says BofA
10 months ago
Research analysts at Bank of America are recommending CLO managers complete amend and extend activity before a wave of transactions exit their reinvestment periods later in the year -
34% of CLOs rated by Fitch out of reinvestment
10 months ago
34% of the CLOs rated by Fitch Ratings have left their reinvestment periods including six deals that exited in May, the rating agency said in a note to clients on Thursday -
Student loans emerge as headwind for loan market, says BofA
10 months ago
American graduates are poised to resume student loan repayments in August, and new research from Bank of America suggests the change could be a headwind for the loan market due to weaker consumer demand. -
More than 45% of Euro CLOs to be out of RP by Q1 2024, Fitch says
11 months ago
More than 45% of Fitch-rated reinvesting European CLOs are anticipated to be out of their reinvestment period by the end of Q1 2024, up from around a third as of April, which could lead to rating pressure for mezzanine tranches in those deals -
CLOs are our highest-conviction investment category, says Oaktree
1 year ago
Oaktree Capital Management has said that CLOs are the firm's 'highest-conviction investment category' in a credit market outlook study published on Thursday, despite the recent turbulence stemming from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank -
Euro CLO exposure to financial sector 'limited', say Fitch
1 year ago
European CLO exposure to the financial sector is 'limited' and CLO ratings will not be impacted by UBS's acquisition of Credit Suisse, according to new data from Fitch Ratings -
Loan trading within European CLOs drops to 0.6%: BofA
1 year ago
European CLO manager trading activity declined sharply this year amid less leveraged loan primary supply and declining secondary liquidity, according to Bank of America research -
Investors should pair short CLO triple As with long MBS for best returns, says Janus Henderson
1 year ago
Senior figures at Janus Henderson Investors have recommended that credit investors should pair short duration CLO triple As with longer duration mortgage backed securities to optimise their returns, in a research article published on Tuesday -
Five issuers account for 22% of Euro CLO triple Cs: BofA
1 year ago
22% of triple C-rated debt in European CLOs originates from just five issuers, according to analysis from Bank of America research this morning -
CLOs cheap to corporates but expensive to agency MBS, says BofA
1 year ago
CLO bonds are currently pricing cheap relative to corporates but look expensive relative to agency MBS bonds, according to new research from Bank of America -
CLO bond buckets balloon post-Volcker amendments, says BofA
1 year ago
CLO holdings of bonds in their portfolios has grown to $15 billion in the two years since changes to the Volcker rule allowed CLOs to hold the assets, according to new research from Bank of America -
Fitch raises low end of its default forecasts for US leveraged loans and high yield
1 year ago
Fitch Ratings has increased the low end of its US leveraged loan and high yield default forecast ranges to reflect growing macroeconomic headwinds -
US and European CLO metrics diverge, finds Barclays
1 year ago
CLO spreads saw a month-on-month move wider in December while key portfolio metrics such as weighted average rating factor (warf) and triple C buckets deteriorated in the US. However, European portfolio metrics showed some improvement -
CLO triple A tiering grew to 48bp by December, says PennMutual
1 year ago
The triple A spread differential between top and lower tier CLO managers widened to 48 basis points by the end of 2022 from just 18bp at the start of the year, according to new research published by PennMutual Asset Management -
Largarde snowballs puncture complacent calm and shocks spreads wider
1 year ago
Credit markets are ending the week on a big push wider, after European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde delivered the surprise that had been missing from other central bank messaging -
US CLO investors express cautious optimism for 2023
1 year ago
After a turbulent year in 2022, US CLO investors are sounding a cautiously bullish tone heading into 2023 -
BofA withdraws forecast for US banks to return to CLO investing en masse in 2023
1 year ago
Bank of America has withdrawn its forecast that US banks will make any signficant return to investing in CLOs in 2023 following comments from the Federal Reserve's vice chair for supervision suggesting that capital requirements could increase further next year -
Major fund withdrawals undermine credit momentum
1 year ago
Credit funds are extending their run of inflows into the end of the year, but investment grade momentum took a dent last week due to investors in one big fund pulling their money -
European CLO equity outperforms single Bs amid high return dispersion: Bank of America
1 year ago
European CLO returns have been negative across the capital structure this year, a research paper from Bank of America has found. Losses have been softened however due to an increasing three-month Euribor rate, high carry relative to corporates and relatively stable equity returns. -
$90 billion gross CLO issuance in 2023 with manager base to shrink, says BofA
1 year ago
Bank of America is forecasting $90 billion gross issuance of CLOs in 2023, split between $80 billion backed by broadly syndicated loans and $10 billion backed by middle market assets -
US CLO tranches had best month of year in November: Barclays
1 year ago
CLO debt investors enjoyed their best month of returns for 2022 in November, with triple As returning an annualised excess return of 12% and triple Bs returning 37% on the month -
Capex and real yields will split winners from losers in '23: BofA
1 year ago
Companies able to undertake capital expenditure will be the winners in 2023, while those historically most sensitive to rising real yields should inspire caution, say Bank of America strategists -
Rebuke for optimism as US jobs send market bulls running for cover
1 year ago
Investors’ determination to maintain an optimistic outlook on US Federal Reserve policy hit a point of reckoning on Friday, with hot US jobs numbers adding weight to committee members’ message that there is still a lot more work for them to do
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