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There's still time to pick up pennies in credit before steamroller arrives: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Declining dealer inventories, rising fund cash balances, and a greater prevalence of hedging have added up to produce a credit market that is positioned too short, according to BNP Paribas strategists -
Credit shrugs off ECB tapering signal, but strategists warn of IG vulnerability
Credit markets are ending the week on a firm footing after taking in their stride the European Central Bank’s message that it expects to limit asset purchases in the coming quarter. But some parts of the market look more vulnerable than others, say strategists -
Rising star portfolio has room to run, says JP Morgan
2 years ago
The theme of 'rising stars' still has room to run and investors should consider a basket of candidates to benefit in the coming months, according to JP Morgan credit strategists -
High yield compression has one last push after real yields turn negative, says BofA
2 years ago
With real yields for European high yield bonds having turned negative, Bank of America credit strategists see "one last hurrah" for spread compression trades -
Lingering covid vies with inflation as top credit threat, finds BofA
2 years ago
Covid-19 lingering is catching up with inflation as credit investors' number one worry, Bank of America's August survey has found. The picture for central bank purchases is bullish, but strategists see industrial and bank senior bonds as shorts for contrarians over the summer -
Rising stars will fuel double B boom, says BofA
2 years ago
A rising star cycle is underway and adds to a bullish outlook for double B credits with company results pointing to an ‘epic V-shaped recovery’ in high yield revenues and earnings, say Bank of America credit strategists -
Green QE is future, says BofA
2 years ago
Last week's European Central Bank strategy review confirmed that climate change policies will dictate the shape of future asset purchases, say Bank of America credit strategists -
Single Bs and periphery in favour as European HY market deleverages: BofA
3 years ago
Single B, periphery, leisure, retail and services high yield credit all look to offer value, amid indications the European market is deleveraging quicker than expected -
Corp hybrid popularity mounts, but strategist outlooks diverge
3 years ago
Corporate hybrid bonds are becoming a focal point for investors in the second quarter, with one bank's credit strategy team making them a top pick to trade spread compression while another's has expressed caution on their likely performance -
Yield rise is buying signal for bonds, says BNP Paribas
3 years ago
Credit spreads are set to hit new cyclical tights in the coming months, with the recent rise in yields having offered an attractive entry point especially for high-rated bonds, say BNP Paribas credit strategists -
Rates moves points to credit improvement, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Focus on the rates market and the future direction of central banks has brought jitters back to credit in recent weeks and had a chilling affect on bond total returns. But higher government yields could end up being good for credit, say Bank of America strategists -
Bet on beta compression - except in sub fin CDS, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Beta compression will be a dominant theme in 2021 for high yield versus investment grade CDS and bonds, financial versus non-financial credit and subordinated versus senior financial bonds, say Bank or America strategists in a research note. Short volatility positions are also attractive, they add, while cautioning sub versus senior financial CDS could buck the trend -
Robots rise for credit ratings
3 years ago
A fintech platform is launching this month that aims to use artificial intelligence to democratise credit ratings. -
High yield outperformance to bring compression trade back into play: Citi
3 years ago
High yield underperformance versus investment grade is expected to reverse following the US presidential election, according to a strategy note from Citi. The bank’s strategists have been advocating compression trades since July and feel that there is more room for this to run citing election trends, exposure to coronavirus credits, expected default rates and credit ratings -
Green credit advocate launches research body
3 years ago
Stockholm-based portfolio manager and green credit advocate Ulf Erlandsson has today announced the launch of research body Anthropocene Fixed Income Institute (AFII) -
Governance has greatest impact on short-term changes in company valuation out of ESG factors, finds MSCI
3 years ago
Governance has more impact than environmental and social factors on company financial fundamentals and stock price in the short term, but ‘E’ and ‘S’ play their part over the long term, according to analysis from MSCI -
Autos dominate in BofA €25 billion fallen angel watchlist
4 years ago
Downgrade impact for fallen angels in the coming months could be more extreme than during the 2008 financial crisis, Bank of America strategists have warned, as they identified €25 billion worth of debt at European investment grade companies most at risk of falling into high yield territory -
Sovereign borrowing will crowd out corps and produce fallen angels, warns BofA
4 years ago
Investors should be wary of buying coporate credit that yields less than sovereign debt, Bank of America strategists have warned, predicting €20-30 billion of European fallen angel volume lies ahead as the market cycle turns -
Hedge against coronavirus, says JP Morgan, naming 40 most exposed credits
4 years ago
With novel coronavirus cases rising at what looks to be an exponential rate, JP Morgan strategists have proposed a high yield hedge to address the rising threat to European credit spreads and listed 40 borrowers they think are most exposed to impact -
Investors increasingly see ESG as fiduciary duty, State Street survey reveals
4 years ago
North American investors are most likely to view ESG as a fiduciary duty, while European investors are driven by regulation, performance and reputational risk, according to results from a survey conducted by State Street Global Advisors -
Boeing/Airbus dogfight widens spreads as WTO ruling exposes Europe's trade weaknesses
4 years ago
The World Trade Organisation’s go-ahead for the US to impose $7.5 billion of tariffs on imports from the EU has sent credit spreads sharply wider. And, according to latest credit research from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, it exposes Europe’s “Achilles heel” -
Political risk puts December in focus as CDS investors play index volatility
4 years ago
Selling implied volatility has been prominent among CDS investors since last month’s iTraxx and CDX index rolls, says BNP Paribas in a research piece, with December a popular point of focus for trades -
Go long CLO triple-A and pick cash bonds over CDS, says JP Morgan
4 years ago
Going long European CLO triple A paper remains one of JP Morgan strategists’ favourite trades following the European Central Bank stimulus announcement last week, despite these tranches having rallied 14bp on average since the bank first backed them. They also predict cash credit to outperform CDS -
Four sectors most favoured by bullish resumption of QE, say BAML strategists
4 years ago
Autos, healthcare, media and real estate bonds are likely to be the biggest initial beneficiaries if the European Central Bank reinvigorates its corporate sector purchase programme (CSPP) next week, say Bank of America Merrill Lynch credit strategists -
Buy iTraxx Europe equity tranche risk but sell Crossover mezz, says JP Morgan
4 years ago
Investors should stick with ‘search for yield’ ideas in investment grade credit, say JP Morgan credit strategists, including selling iTraxx Europe 0-3% equity tranches delta hedged, going long the 10-year Europe index, and selling credit volatility through index options while buying equity market volatility
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