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Post-Fed volatility prompts stark reassessment of credit relative value
2 years ago
Central bank policy moves have caught markets off-guard, with volatility ensuing and spreads hitting new wides -
Volatility has teed up decompression trades: Barclays
2 years ago
Recent credit market turbulence has brought relative value trading opportunities between cash bonds and CDS, credit and equity as well as between investment grade and high yield, particularly in Europe -
Credit awash with volatility in first week but investors load up
2 years ago
It has been a volatile opening week to the year for credit, but one in which investors have allocated bullishly to credit funds -
Euro bonds set to outperform US despite big fund outflows: BofA
2 years ago
The November credit crash has left Euro investment grade bonds wider than those in the US, a rare occurrence that sets the scene for a January rally, say Bank of America credit strategists -
Loans will be winners in bearish year for credit: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Floating rate loans are best positioned for a year of widening credit spreads, but high yield bonds will outperform investment grade and EM credit is set for losses, says BNP Paribas in its 2022 outlook -
Slow and sustainable trades will win race in '22: BofA
2 years ago
A year on from the US presidential election and unveiling of covid-19 vaccines, the credit compression looks challenged. But 'laggards' and sectors with strong capex growth still hold promise -
Credit bull run falters as central bank glow abates
2 years ago
Thoughts that the credit market had taken a positive directional shift are turning, after Tuesday’s session has brought a sizeable retracement wider, but credit strategists predict an overall firming of tone into the end of the year off the back of dovish central bank meetings -
CB bond purchase 'greening' is game changer for credit: BofA
2 years ago
Confirmation by the Bank of England that its corporate bond purchase scheme will be ‘greened’ is a game changing moment for credit markets, say Bank of America strategists -
Europe dominates ESG issuance, but US is racing to catch up: BofA
2 years ago
The stark gap between European and other regions in issuing ESG bonds has been thrown into the spotlight by last week’s COP26 summit. Nevertheless, encouraging data suggests the US is accelerating fast in its drive to bridge the gulf, finds Bank of America -
It's a-live! AI platform launch puts US ratings in spotlight
2 years ago
RoboR8, a fintech platform that aims to democratise credit ratings through artificial intelligence, has launched and hopes to rate 50,000 companies by the end of December, before building to several million in 2022. -
There's still time to pick up pennies in credit before steamroller arrives: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Declining dealer inventories, rising fund cash balances, and a greater prevalence of hedging have added up to produce a credit market that is positioned too short, according to BNP Paribas strategists -
Credit shrugs off ECB tapering signal, but strategists warn of IG vulnerability
Credit markets are ending the week on a firm footing after taking in their stride the European Central Bank’s message that it expects to limit asset purchases in the coming quarter. But some parts of the market look more vulnerable than others, say strategists -
Rising star portfolio has room to run, says JP Morgan
2 years ago
The theme of 'rising stars' still has room to run and investors should consider a basket of candidates to benefit in the coming months, according to JP Morgan credit strategists -
High yield compression has one last push after real yields turn negative, says BofA
2 years ago
With real yields for European high yield bonds having turned negative, Bank of America credit strategists see "one last hurrah" for spread compression trades -
Lingering covid vies with inflation as top credit threat, finds BofA
2 years ago
Covid-19 lingering is catching up with inflation as credit investors' number one worry, Bank of America's August survey has found. The picture for central bank purchases is bullish, but strategists see industrial and bank senior bonds as shorts for contrarians over the summer -
Green QE is future, says BofA
2 years ago
Last week's European Central Bank strategy review confirmed that climate change policies will dictate the shape of future asset purchases, say Bank of America credit strategists -
Corp hybrid popularity mounts, but strategist outlooks diverge
3 years ago
Corporate hybrid bonds are becoming a focal point for investors in the second quarter, with one bank's credit strategy team making them a top pick to trade spread compression while another's has expressed caution on their likely performance -
Yield rise is buying signal for bonds, says BNP Paribas
3 years ago
Credit spreads are set to hit new cyclical tights in the coming months, with the recent rise in yields having offered an attractive entry point especially for high-rated bonds, say BNP Paribas credit strategists -
Rates moves points to credit improvement, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Focus on the rates market and the future direction of central banks has brought jitters back to credit in recent weeks and had a chilling affect on bond total returns. But higher government yields could end up being good for credit, say Bank of America strategists -
Bet on beta compression - except in sub fin CDS, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Beta compression will be a dominant theme in 2021 for high yield versus investment grade CDS and bonds, financial versus non-financial credit and subordinated versus senior financial bonds, say Bank or America strategists in a research note. Short volatility positions are also attractive, they add, while cautioning sub versus senior financial CDS could buck the trend -
Robots rise for credit ratings
3 years ago
A fintech platform is launching this month that aims to use artificial intelligence to democratise credit ratings. -
High yield outperformance to bring compression trade back into play: Citi
3 years ago
High yield underperformance versus investment grade is expected to reverse following the US presidential election, according to a strategy note from Citi. The bank’s strategists have been advocating compression trades since July and feel that there is more room for this to run citing election trends, exposure to coronavirus credits, expected default rates and credit ratings -
Go long index mezz tranches to pick up spread: Citi
3 years ago
Citi research has outlined some of the opportunities that have arisen in the index tranche market as a result of elevated correlation -
Green credit advocate launches research body
3 years ago
Stockholm-based portfolio manager and green credit advocate Ulf Erlandsson has today announced the launch of research body Anthropocene Fixed Income Institute (AFII) -
Autos dominate in BofA €25 billion fallen angel watchlist
4 years ago
Downgrade impact for fallen angels in the coming months could be more extreme than during the 2008 financial crisis, Bank of America strategists have warned, as they identified €25 billion worth of debt at European investment grade companies most at risk of falling into high yield territory
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