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Down in the hole: investors hedge their bets ahead of pivotal Powell
1 year ago
Credit spreads are shifting wider on Friday, after an initial improvement, as investors try to balance positions ahead of what could be a pivotal speech by US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell -
Rising stars, decompression and trade unwinds set to drive September roll: Barclays
1 year ago
Decompression and US / Europe relative value trade unwinds look set to characterise the September CDS index roll, with the prospect of no changes to iTraxx Europe for the first time in recent memory, say Barclays credit strategists -
Spreads gap wider with UK inflation adding to cocktail of concerns
1 year ago
Evidence of financial markets hitting a resistance point after three weeks of improvement is growing, with Monday’s bearish shift extending over into early trading Tuesday -
Euro credit woes vs US set to resume with cyclicals shock likely: JP Morgan
1 year ago
Further decoupling lies ahead between euro and dollar credit, despite the recent positioning squeeze, warn JP Morgan credit strategists -
Position cutting tames market rally and strategists warn on primary impact
1 year ago
Caution is the watchword across financial markets on Tuesday, with the strong recent run giving way to hedging and position cutting ahead of a much-anticipated US inflation reading on Wednesday -
ECB acts on inflation but gas and other worries grow worse
1 year ago
If European Central Bank officials breathed a sigh of relief when their first hike in 11 years did not immediately rattle markets — or even dared believe a more hawkish signal helped confidence — the reprieve was short-lived -
Relief rally extends despite US and EU sending mixed signals on recession
1 year ago
Growth and inflation data on Friday has added impetus for the European Central Bank to maintain a hawkish stance at its September meeting, despite US signals suggesting that economy is in recession -
Italian rout gathers pace as credit relationships warp well beyond historical norms
1 year ago
Renewed selling pressure on Thursday has taken credit spreads back towards the year’s wides, with financial borrowers underperforming as Chinese covid cases, US inflation and a drought in Italy all weigh on sentiment -
IG payers provide best tail-risk hedges: Barclays
1 year ago
Investors seeking the cheapest tail risk hedge should look to CDX IG payers, while iTraxx Europe payers are the best hedge against further European underperformance, finds Barclays -
Go long duration in consumers and industrials: BofA
1 year ago
The year’s wides still lie ahead in the second half, but China reopening is bullish for consumer and industrial spreads and investors should extend duration in high-quality credit, according to Bank of America strategists -
CLO spreads are not pricing in recession: JP Morgan
1 year ago
CLOs are priced fairly for a growth slowdown but not a recession, according to JP Morgan credit strategists, who warn spreads are at risk if US growth contracts -
EU inflation prints frame challenge ahead as horror show first half ends
1 year ago
Financial markets are heading into the weekend with a rare stationary session, but the mood is more one of shellshock than considered positioning, after one of the worst first halves to a year on record -
Credit lacks 'good answer' on what could cap spread widening: JP Morgan
1 year ago
Without any clear candidates to put a lid on spread widening, investment grade and high yield credit markets look set to extend much wider than current levels, warn JP Morgan strategists -
Europe trades heavier than US as market baulks at new hikes
2 years ago
Credit spreads have resumed their push wider, with European indices once again under more pressure than their US counterparts -
Credit rout eases as ECB holds emergency meeting ahead of Fed rates decision
2 years ago
Credit markets are undergoing a relief rally, even as the US Federal Reserve prepares to deliver its moment of truth decision on policy tightening and the European Central Bank holds an emergency meeting to address the recent sell-off in risk assets -
Euro IG credit looks set to outperform US, HY and equities: Barclays
2 years ago
An outlook of elevated inflation and low growth favours credit over equities, and euro investment grade over high yield, according to European credit strategists at Barclays -
Market jitters mount as US delivers May CPI
2 years ago
Credit spreads have moved sharply wider for the fourth day straight as investors digested the European Central Bank’s hawkish turn and watched with trepidation for the US to reveal its May consumer price index numbers -
CLO top stack offers best value versus corp debt after junior tranche rally: Barclays
2 years ago
Having lagged in the recent market recovery, CLO triple A paper looks attractive versus corporate investment grade and the CDX IG credit derivatives index -
Russia oil ban accord unites markets in sell off
2 years ago
EU leaders’ compromise agreement on banning Russian oil imports by sea has presented a united front few may have thought possible only days ago. But financial markets have not reacted positively, with risk assets selling off as the euro slumps and oil hits its highest level since March -
Fund outflows extend despite sharp improvement in credit performance
2 years ago
This has been a much better week for credit and equity market performance than last, but that has not stopped the tide of investors looking to withdraw their money from funds for such risk assets -
Bespoke bond baskets on the rise as investors seek targeted portfolio trades
2 years ago
High yield index replication and accessing illiquid exposure are two factors building momentum for a new investment approach that bundles bonds into a single risk piece -
Credit fund bleed out looks hard to stem, as hawks ignore macro gloom
2 years ago
Ever more investors are running to safety as risk assets tally up another rough week, with strategists warning there is no end in sight for credit fund outflows while central banks hold their course on rate hikes -
Credit retreats from wides, but worrisome test levels remain in view
2 years ago
Another rocky week for markets is ending with credit finding a firmer tone. But big questions remain unanswered about relative value and the levels some sectors could test -
Post-Fed volatility prompts stark reassessment of credit relative value
2 years ago
Central bank policy moves have caught markets off-guard, with volatility ensuing and spreads hitting new wides -
Volatility has teed up decompression trades: Barclays
2 years ago
Recent credit market turbulence has brought relative value trading opportunities between cash bonds and CDS, credit and equity as well as between investment grade and high yield, particularly in Europe
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