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Euro bonds set to outperform US despite big fund outflows: BofA
2 years ago
The November credit crash has left Euro investment grade bonds wider than those in the US, a rare occurrence that sets the scene for a January rally, say Bank of America credit strategists -
Slow and sustainable trades will win race in '22: BofA
2 years ago
A year on from the US presidential election and unveiling of covid-19 vaccines, the credit compression looks challenged. But 'laggards' and sectors with strong capex growth still hold promise -
Credit bull run falters as central bank glow abates
2 years ago
Thoughts that the credit market had taken a positive directional shift are turning, after Tuesday’s session has brought a sizeable retracement wider, but credit strategists predict an overall firming of tone into the end of the year off the back of dovish central bank meetings -
Europe dominates ESG issuance, but US is racing to catch up: BofA
2 years ago
The stark gap between European and other regions in issuing ESG bonds has been thrown into the spotlight by last week’s COP26 summit. Nevertheless, encouraging data suggests the US is accelerating fast in its drive to bridge the gulf, finds Bank of America -
It's a-live! AI platform launch puts US ratings in spotlight
2 years ago
RoboR8, a fintech platform that aims to democratise credit ratings through artificial intelligence, has launched and hopes to rate 50,000 companies by the end of December, before building to several million in 2022. -
There's still time to pick up pennies in credit before steamroller arrives: BNP Paribas
2 years ago
Declining dealer inventories, rising fund cash balances, and a greater prevalence of hedging have added up to produce a credit market that is positioned too short, according to BNP Paribas strategists -
Long duration high yield will overcome short-term rates carnage, says BofA
2 years ago
Bonds with inflation-protected real yield, longer duration, and especially those in the utilities sector are among the most compelling trades amid a phase of ‘policy paranoia’, according to Bank of America credit strategists -
Lingering covid vies with inflation as top credit threat, finds BofA
3 years ago
Covid-19 lingering is catching up with inflation as credit investors' number one worry, Bank of America's August survey has found. The picture for central bank purchases is bullish, but strategists see industrial and bank senior bonds as shorts for contrarians over the summer -
Corp hybrid popularity mounts, but strategist outlooks diverge
3 years ago
Corporate hybrid bonds are becoming a focal point for investors in the second quarter, with one bank's credit strategy team making them a top pick to trade spread compression while another's has expressed caution on their likely performance -
Yield rise is buying signal for bonds, says BNP Paribas
3 years ago
Credit spreads are set to hit new cyclical tights in the coming months, with the recent rise in yields having offered an attractive entry point especially for high-rated bonds, say BNP Paribas credit strategists -
Rates moves points to credit improvement, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Focus on the rates market and the future direction of central banks has brought jitters back to credit in recent weeks and had a chilling affect on bond total returns. But higher government yields could end up being good for credit, say Bank of America strategists -
Bet on beta compression - except in sub fin CDS, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Beta compression will be a dominant theme in 2021 for high yield versus investment grade CDS and bonds, financial versus non-financial credit and subordinated versus senior financial bonds, say Bank or America strategists in a research note. Short volatility positions are also attractive, they add, while cautioning sub versus senior financial CDS could buck the trend -
Robots rise for credit ratings
3 years ago
A fintech platform is launching this month that aims to use artificial intelligence to democratise credit ratings. -
High yield outperformance to bring compression trade back into play: Citi
3 years ago
High yield underperformance versus investment grade is expected to reverse following the US presidential election, according to a strategy note from Citi. The bank’s strategists have been advocating compression trades since July and feel that there is more room for this to run citing election trends, exposure to coronavirus credits, expected default rates and credit ratings -
Go long index mezz tranches to pick up spread: Citi
3 years ago
Citi research has outlined some of the opportunities that have arisen in the index tranche market as a result of elevated correlation -
Boeing/Airbus dogfight widens spreads as WTO ruling exposes Europe's trade weaknesses
4 years ago
The World Trade Organisation’s go-ahead for the US to impose $7.5 billion of tariffs on imports from the EU has sent credit spreads sharply wider. And, according to latest credit research from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, it exposes Europe’s “Achilles heel” -
Political risk puts December in focus as CDS investors play index volatility
4 years ago
Selling implied volatility has been prominent among CDS investors since last month’s iTraxx and CDX index rolls, says BNP Paribas in a research piece, with December a popular point of focus for trades -
Triple B fightback has begun, says BNP Paribas
5 years ago
Fallen angel risk – the possibility that a wave of triple B credits could be cut by rating agencies to sub-investment grade – should begin to decline, according to strategists at BNP Paribas -
Credit pickers will win as high yield spreads widen in 2019, predicts Citi
5 years ago
After a volatile 2018 in the credit derivatives market, there are reasons to be optimistic this year for the best credit pickers, according to Citi’s global credit derivatives outlook
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