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CLO inflows could hit $60 billion as knock on from student loan forgiveness, says BofA
1 year ago
US president Joe Biden’s student loan forgiveness programme could lead up to $60 billion flowing into the CLO market, according to research from BofA -
Euro CLO IG mezz tranches look attractive amid cap stack divergence: Barclays
1 year ago
European CLO IG mezzanine debt tranches are more attractive than triple As or double Bs, say strategists at Barclays, owing to greater dispersion and a lag in recovery. -
Three defaults mean CLO OC ratios to decline by 17bp in September, says BofA
1 year ago
CLO overcollateralisation ratios are set to decline by 17 basis points in September following the defaults of Cineworld, Endo and Carestream health, according to a research paper from Bank of America -
Widening asset/liability gulf will hurt CLOs: Barclays
1 year ago
A mismatch between CLO asset / liability rate risk is increasing in the US as more leveraged loan issuers opt for one-month pay frequency, Barclays credit strategists have found -
US banks' CLO holdings rose $10bn in Q2, but demand is set to drop: BofA
1 year ago
CLO holdings by US banks increased by around $10 billion over the second quarter this year. But BofA anticipates subdued demand for the rest of the year due to high loan growth, slowdown in deposit growth and increased capital requirements -
US CLO triple C buckets will increase by up to 0.7% in August: BofA
1 year ago
US CLO triple-C baskets are expected to fill up by as much as 0.7% in August trustee reports, according to strategists at Bank of America, with the pace of triple C downgrades picking up in July to reverse an 18-month trend of stable or declining triple C concentrations -
Short duration CLOs are putting reset risk in the post: Barclays
1 year ago
The CLO market’s recent trend of shorter duration issuance could be setting up a problem for managers down the line that will impact their equity returns, Barclays has warned -
Euro double As and US triple As offer best value in CLOs: BNP Paribas
1 year ago
Secondary market double A rated tranches offer the best relative value in European CLOs’ capital structures, while US triple As in primary starting to look attractive, according to BNP Paribas credit strategists -
CLO spreads are not pricing in recession: JP Morgan
1 year ago
CLOs are priced fairly for a growth slowdown but not a recession, according to JP Morgan credit strategists, who warn spreads are at risk if US growth contracts -
Manager selection stakes are heightening as CLO pain points intensify: Barclays
1 year ago
CLOs’ slump in market value and piling of distressed assets have made differentiation between managers much more acute on key metrics, regionally and by vintage, according to Barclays credit strategists -
CLO investors show more signs of optimism than other ABS: Barclays
1 year ago
CLO investors attending the Global ABS conference in Barcelona were more upbeat than those that work in residential mortgage-backed securities and other ABS, say Barclays securitised credit strategists. But the overall mood was sombre -
CLO top stack offers best value versus corp debt after junior tranche rally: Barclays
1 year ago
Having lagged in the recent market recovery, CLO triple A paper looks attractive versus corporate investment grade and the CDX IG credit derivatives index -
BofA revises Euro CLO new issuance forecasts downwards
1 year ago
Bank of America CLO strategists have cut their base case forecasts for European CLO volume in 2022 to €22.6 billion for new issues and €10 billion for refi/resets, citing slower economic growth and higher tail risks. But further market disruption could take new issuance down to €16.5 billion, they warned -
Think of the arb, say US CLO panelists after big loan drop
1 year ago
Far from being a cause for alarm, falling loan prices have brought a welcome opportunity in new CLO issuance for managers and investors, according to speakers at the Creditflux Symposium in London today -
Macro woes have dented CLO and loan outlook: Barclays
2 years ago
Rising interest rates and elevated macro volatility have negatively impacted the performance outlook for both loans and CLOs, according to Barclays credit strategists -
High yield / loan slowdown affects year-end projections and pricing: Barclays
2 years ago
A sharp decline in primary market activity means expectations for high yield bond and even leveraged loan issuance need to be lowered, say Barclays credit strategists. And that in turn has implications for relative value -
CLOs look attractive after corporate rally - but not all tranches: Barclays
2 years ago
Rallying corporate cash credit spreads over the past two weeks have widened the basis with CLOs and made these products look attractive again, according to Barclays strategists -
Hidden loan tail risks and mounting single B exposure could pose problem for CLOs: Barclays
2 years ago
A solid rally for leveraged loans this week - against returning weakness in bonds - has put focus back on the market, which seemingly has little tail risk priced in. But short term support factors and a dwindling triple C bucket mask the quality skew, warn Barclays strategists in a note today - which could spell downgrades for single-B minus rated loans -
European CLOs well-placed to counter volatility: Fitch
2 years ago
High inflation could hamper borrowers, but European CLOs are in decent shape with most loan issuers having refinanced last year, according to a report by Fitch Ratings. Other parts of structured credit are not as well insulated against risks. -
CLO equity returns to flatten while Sofr transition gains fresh impetus: BofA
2 years ago
CLO equity returns are forecasted to be relatively low in the first half of the year, and as this plays out there could be greater incentive for equity investors to push for a switch in CLO benchmark to Sofr. -
CLO mezz investors are homing in on documentation: Morgan Stanley
2 years ago
European CLO mezzanine investors paid close attention to documentation over the past 12 months, with junior overcollateralisation test criteria, weighted average life extesions and approval for collateral quality key areas of focus, say Morgan Stanley strategists -
CLO equity could get hurt by mismatch in credit spread adjustments: Barclays
2 years ago
The possibility that borrowers and sponsors start to use their clout to scrap credit spread adjustments from leveraged loans poses a risk for new CLO equity, while legacy deals also face transition challenges -
Impact of Russia-Ukraine war on Euro CLOs will be indirect, finds BofA
2 years ago
European companies largely do not have much direct exposure to Russia or Ukraine, but pricing and inflationary pressures may impact companies -
CLO investor cash balances at lowest levels since 2009: JP Morgan research
2 years ago
A survey conducted by JP Morgan has suggested that CLO investors' cash balances are at their lowest levels since 2009 - but most managers want to add risk in the coming months -
CLO lower cap stack will outperform with $175bn new issuance in 2022: JP Morgan
2 years ago
Equity and lower rated tranche investors will do best as $175 billion of global new CLO issuance arrives in 2022, predict JP Morgan strategists in their annual outlook, taking market size to $1.2 trillion
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