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"Forget the World Cup, the macro-economic catastrophe cup has more well-matched contenders"
1 year ago
Government bonds are rallying in some quarters, but the odds are on more stress feeding into credit -
"Short memories forget how rampant anti-EU sentiment was before Mario Draghi became Italy’s prime minister"
1 year ago
Unrest in Italy threatens to escalate into a bigger crisis than Greece in 2012 -
"If anything is to be salvaged from the rest of 2022, the economy needs a hero — and quickly"
1 year ago
Something has gotta give as a recession looms in the US. Might it be energy? -
"The shutdown of economies in the pandemic showed it’s better to suffer up front"
1 year ago
Rather than prolong the agony, central banks would be better off bunching their planned rate hikes into one -
"It’ll take something special to drag my attention away from Depp/Heard, but Jerome Powell could just do it"
1 year ago
It’s not easy letting go of the past, but May heralds the start of something new in credit -
"Credit investors should interpret 100,000 Russian troops on the Ukrainian border as worth pricing in"
2 years ago
Welshcake tells credit portfolio managers to under-promise and over-deliver in 2022 -
"No-one talks about the part oil price surges played in the 2008/9 global financial crisis"
2 years ago
Investors eyeing inflation shocks and supply chain disruption should instead be paying attention to the brewing energy crisis -
“For Creditflux this will be an extra special occasion - the publication is marking its 20th year in business”
2 years ago
A colourful train journey featuring Alice in Wonderland, Yoda and Top Trumps puts Welshcake in mind of the CLO Symposium -
"Pain is on the way: spreads are too tight, while compression and carry are done. But what if it's not?"
2 years ago
Welshcake reminds us that mid-cycle portfolio management is a funny old game -
"In the afternoon I awoke from a pile of willow leaves to discover we had created a Welsh ether-based token"
2 years ago
A localised crypto-currency boom and bust cycle teaches Welshcake (again) that everything becomes correlated in a downturn -
CLO guys shouldn't feel quite as self-important as us Welsh... But you are in a pretty amazing spot
3 years ago
CLO portfolio managers should be emboldened by recent events to push for ESG strategies -
Cessation of activity mid-December is an opportunity to switch off… and let the mind wander
3 years ago
Welshcake is grateful for a lull in credit markets. The downtime has inspired him to dream up a CLO play -
I foresee various spooky spectacles hitting our screens - and your long portfolios
3 years ago
Welshcake is settling in for a horror movie marathon. But in the previews he sees monsters lurking behind tight credit spreads -
The surge in index tranche trading has resulted in a deep, liquid and nuanced set of market dynamics
3 years ago
Welshcake emerges from his bunker to find CLOs still standing and the CSO market getting back to business -
2020 is a massive opportunity for change - and clinging to past achievements won't wash
3 years ago
Statues don’t serve much of a purpose. It’s time to move on — and credit investors can and should be part of the movement -
Where are the gloating I-told-you-so columnists who claimed CLOs would bring global destruction?
3 years ago
We have seen a measured response to the coronavirus crisis: fund managers aren’t collapsing and investors are not shunning CLOs -
Miscast as the villains of the 2008 crisis, CDS may prove to be the heroes of 2020
4 years ago
Credit default swaps provide investors with valuable signals on the depth of the coronavirus crisis -
2020 will be about relative value, watching for idiosyncratic risk and a good deal of running away
4 years ago
Investors must embrace change — it’s time for structured credit investors to look beyond vanilla CLOs -
Don’t get too comfortable. The truth is there are hundreds of things that could be catalysts for a sell-off
4 years ago
Just because there’s no obvious sign of a sell-off, doesn’t mean it’s not going to happen. Often, market moves defy logic -
It may seem a bit rich for Welshcake to tell staid CLO investors they need to be more sensible
4 years ago
Bespokes are the next big thing — and you’d be wise to get involved -
Helicopter money is more productive than sponsoring the next bout of company share buybacks
4 years ago
The ECB is set to recommence its asset purchase programme, but what’s wrong with putting money directly into the hands of people? -
What price lender integrity if myriad interpretations mean nobody knows where they stand?
4 years ago
Net short language is seeping into loan documentation. The problem is that some funds may not know their net position -
The synthetic bespoke market could definitely do with the company of the rating agencies
4 years ago
It’s about time CSOs opened the door to the rating agencies — it would be good for investors and the agencies -
Points Up Front: What’s a welshcake?
5 years ago
Our new guest columnist, Welshcake, has developed quite the following since debuting two months ago, with potshots at mainstream media coverage of the credit derivatives market, as well as taking loan market participants to task for their transfer fees -
So lacking in transparency are CDS that they cloak themselves with standardised docs and definitions
5 years ago
A glance through mainstream media reports confirms that credit default swaps are as sinful as the media thinks they are, says our columnist Welshcake
25 results found Showing page 1 of 1
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