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Boeing/Airbus dogfight widens spreads as WTO ruling exposes Europe's trade weaknesses
4 years ago
The World Trade Organisation’s go-ahead for the US to impose $7.5 billion of tariffs on imports from the EU has sent credit spreads sharply wider. And, according to latest credit research from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, it exposes Europe’s “Achilles heel” -
Roll week leaves CDS in strange places
4 years ago
CDS traders navigate a much-changed landscape in October, after one of the most impactful index rolls in recent times. -
Political risk puts December in focus as CDS investors play index volatility
4 years ago
Selling implied volatility has been prominent among CDS investors since last month’s iTraxx and CDX index rolls, says BNP Paribas in a research piece, with December a popular point of focus for trades -
China ambitions checked in final roll lists for iTraxx and CDX indices
4 years ago
The index roll lists for iTraxx Europe, iTraxx ex-Japan and CDX EM, have all undergone a rethink since IHS Markit published provisional lists earlier this week, with final lists showing name changes -
Draghi sends European credit to 2019 tights, as Trump demands Fed response
4 years ago
European investment grade credit – and particularly the financial sector – surged tighter today as European Central Bank president Mario Draghi, in the penultimate meeting of his reign, unveiled a ‘whatever it takes’ stimulus -
US spreads reconverge on Europe as traders hold breath for ECB
4 years ago
Credit markets are finely poised ahead of today’s meeting of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt today, with some positivity around US-China tariff talks allowing US spreads to gain ground as European expectation remains tempered by German recession fears -
iTraxx and CDX roll provisional lists reveal effects of index overhauls
4 years ago
Eagerly awaited provisional lists are out for this month’s index CDS rolls, with big changes signalled across iTraxx and CDX products -
CDS data snapshot: central bank positioning and index rolls drive flows
4 years ago
Welcome to the inaugural run of what will become a weekly insight into credit derivatives trading. Each week, Creditflux will highlight trends and dynamics from most recently available market data. We welcome feedback on measures of the market readers would like to see here in future -
Credit traders' kickstand: Financials lead compression as pre-ECB and index roll bulldozers flatten spreads
4 years ago
Caution does not appear to be an operative word in financial markets ahead of next week’s key European Central Bank meeting, with financial names leading the way as credit spreads return to this year’s tightest levels and stocks ascend towards post-crisis peaks -
Credit traders' kickstand: Europe ascendant as high yield pipeline returns
4 years ago
The high yield bond primary market grinds back into gear this week just as European credit reaches an extreme point of outperformance over the US, and comes on the back of Europe’s busiest week of investment grade issuance in 18 months -
Credit traders’ kickstand: it’s a tough time to go short
4 years ago
Credit derivative indices are ending the week back at very tight levels, with a re-convergence of spreads, with little appetite to bet against presumed central bank dovishness or the upcoming CDS rolls in September -
Traders eye high yield CDS b-wics as index rally opens up skew
4 years ago
The rally back of credit derivative indices over recent sessions has caused the skew with their underlying CDS constituents to open up, leading some dealers to posit single name CDS b-wics could be on the way -
Credit traders' kickstand: Basis and CDS curves take focus with long wait ahead for central bank direction
4 years ago
With almost a month to wait before the European Central Bank and US Federal Reserve hold their next decisive meetings, a bumpier and seemingly directionless road continues in credit markets as investors show little inclination to do anything more adventurous than just hold on tight -
Credit traders' kickstand: volatility puts paid to primary, but pays out for relative value buyers
4 years ago
The persistence of credit market choppiness has brought into focus CDS/bond basis plays, options positioning, high yield dispersion and peripheral European weakness - but mainly the volatility rash has put a block on borrowers' primary market aspirations -
Flat curves and decompression make waves below the surface
4 years ago
Hopes of using the summer slowdown to get to the beach may be tempered for credit relative value traders, where opportunities abound behind the uninspiring benchmark numbers of the slow market grind. -
Net short language could force lenders to sell at a loss
4 years ago
Signs are growing that ‘net short’ provisions in bonds and loans are getting closer to hitting CDS investors, with two instances in recent weeks of the language expanding both in geographical and functional remit. -
Back to basis (and skew) as relative value plays catch-up
4 years ago
Basis trades between bonds and CDS failed to gain traction during July as synthetic markets held ground or improved their position versus cash, but this is beginning to change, say market participants. -
BlueMountain lands senior credit trader in New York
4 years ago
BlueMountain has hired an experienced trader in New York to cover credit and special situations -
Credit traders' kickstand: tighter and tighter we go, as outlook gets 'worse and worse'
4 years ago
It’s a strange world, where the president of the European Central Bank can say the economic outlook is “getting worse and worse” as credit markets surge into new territories of tightness -
CDS has spillover effect on bond liquidity but could cause fire sales, finds BoE researcher
4 years ago
Single name CDS positioning is positive for the bonds of borrowers referenced by the contracts through a ‘liquidity spillover effect’, according to a new paper by a Bank of England research economist. But mark-to-market losses on CDS brought about by higher margining costs could lead to fire sales in the bond market, the paper adds. -
Credit traders’ kickstand: curve flatteners and skew trades gain ground
4 years ago
Grinding tighter is the order of the day in credit markets – and indeed looks likely to be the order for much of next week, with an absence of obvious events and catalysts to dictate otherwise. But the strength of the rally in CDS indices has left ‘catch up’ opportunities for relative value traders in curve, basis and even skew based strategies, say market participants -
Tranche trading is back: relative value plays power growth
4 years ago
Synthetic bespoke and index tranche markets are shifting through the gears and accelerating, say investors, as an increasing prevalence of relative value trading strategies evoke dreams of the products returning to pre-financial crisis glory. -
Credit traders' kickstand: European financials outperform as Trump-Xi meeting looms
4 years ago
Credit markets are finely poised going into the weekend, when US president Donald Trump’s crunch G20 meeting with Chinese president Xi Jinping likely could set the direction of trade from Monday -
Credit traders' kickstand: synthetic credit leads the way as spreads swoop on dovish wings
4 years ago
Dovish comments by the European Central Bank and US Federal Reserve, along with thin bond issuance, contributed to a pronounced rally this week in credit market. But a nervy week may lie ahead as suspense grows before G20 summit talks between the US and China next Friday and Saturday -
Barclays rehires high yield credit trader from Goldman Sachs
4 years ago
A high yield specialist has become the second credit trader in as many months to rejoin Barclays from Goldman Sachs
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