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Largarde snowballs puncture complacent calm and shocks spreads wider
1 year ago
Credit markets are ending the week on a big push wider, after European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde delivered the surprise that had been missing from other central bank messaging -
Major fund withdrawals undermine credit momentum
1 year ago
Credit funds are extending their run of inflows into the end of the year, but investment grade momentum took a dent last week due to investors in one big fund pulling their money -
Capex and real yields will split winners from losers in '23: BofA
1 year ago
Companies able to undertake capital expenditure will be the winners in 2023, while those historically most sensitive to rising real yields should inspire caution, say Bank of America strategists -
Credit euphoria follows CPI, but analysts warn of comedown
1 year ago
Softer than expected US inflation numbers have ignited a spectacular rally in financial markets. But strategists and economists warn against the exuberance, arguing more pain is likely on the way -
US jobs strength sends traders scrambling to cut Fed pivot trades
1 year ago
Credit spreads are ending the week on a sharp move wider, with a heavy sell off hitting financial markets in the wake of US jobs numbers that suggest any notions of a Fed pivot on rates are premature -
Go long duration in consumers and industrials: BofA
1 year ago
The year’s wides still lie ahead in the second half, but China reopening is bullish for consumer and industrial spreads and investors should extend duration in high-quality credit, according to Bank of America strategists -
Market jitters mount as US delivers May CPI
2 years ago
Credit spreads have moved sharply wider for the fourth day straight as investors digested the European Central Bank’s hawkish turn and watched with trepidation for the US to reveal its May consumer price index numbers -
Fund outflows extend despite sharp improvement in credit performance
2 years ago
This has been a much better week for credit and equity market performance than last, but that has not stopped the tide of investors looking to withdraw their money from funds for such risk assets -
Credit fund bleed out looks hard to stem, as hawks ignore macro gloom
2 years ago
Ever more investors are running to safety as risk assets tally up another rough week, with strategists warning there is no end in sight for credit fund outflows while central banks hold their course on rate hikes -
Credit retreats from wides, but worrisome test levels remain in view
2 years ago
Another rocky week for markets is ending with credit finding a firmer tone. But big questions remain unanswered about relative value and the levels some sectors could test -
Europe/US relative value comes into play amid growing credit outflows
2 years ago
Big successive moves wider are taking credit spreads to new extremes and bringing compression between Europe and the US amid the highest daily market volatility since 2020 -
Credit awash with volatility in first week but investors load up
2 years ago
It has been a volatile opening week to the year for credit, but one in which investors have allocated bullishly to credit funds -
Banks and loans to benefit in 2022 as safe havens dwindle
2 years ago
Safe havens and sector pitfalls are among some of the top considerations for portfolio managers this year, as a consensus forms that credit could suffer versus other asset classes -
Euro bonds set to outperform US despite big fund outflows: BofA
2 years ago
The November credit crash has left Euro investment grade bonds wider than those in the US, a rare occurrence that sets the scene for a January rally, say Bank of America credit strategists -
Past form points to bleak picture for IG fund flows as new covid variant emerges: BofA
2 years ago
With a new covid-19 variant for investors to worry about, faltering high grade fund flows face additional headwinds versus high yield and government bonds -
Slow and sustainable trades will win race in '22: BofA
2 years ago
A year on from the US presidential election and unveiling of covid-19 vaccines, the credit compression looks challenged. But 'laggards' and sectors with strong capex growth still hold promise -
Europe dominates ESG issuance, but US is racing to catch up: BofA
2 years ago
The stark gap between European and other regions in issuing ESG bonds has been thrown into the spotlight by last week’s COP26 summit. Nevertheless, encouraging data suggests the US is accelerating fast in its drive to bridge the gulf, finds Bank of America -
Sov yield surge finally weighs on IG fund flows, as credit turns corner
2 years ago
Investment grade credit funds have suffered their first net outflow in several months, as the uptick in rates volatility has finally weighed on appetite in this part of the credit spectrum -
Retailer jumps on PE rumours while markets stay rooted in Jackson Hole
2 years ago
UK supermarket retailer Sainsbury's has been a notable mover in credit this week, as the wider market waits tentatively on Friday's Jackson Hole movement in the US and fund outflows signal nervousness about US Federal Reserve policy and escalating turmoil in Afghanistan -
Lingering covid vies with inflation as top credit threat, finds BofA
2 years ago
Covid-19 lingering is catching up with inflation as credit investors' number one worry, Bank of America's August survey has found. The picture for central bank purchases is bullish, but strategists see industrial and bank senior bonds as shorts for contrarians over the summer -
Rates moves points to credit improvement, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Focus on the rates market and the future direction of central banks has brought jitters back to credit in recent weeks and had a chilling affect on bond total returns. But higher government yields could end up being good for credit, say Bank of America strategists -
Full circle for credit as investors navigate stormy year-opener
3 years ago
Credit is ending 2021's politically tumultuous first week tighter in cash bonds and flattish in CDS spreads, but performance has noticeably lagged more emphatic improvements in stocks, commodities and the record-hitting Bitcoin -
Bet on beta compression - except in sub fin CDS, say BofA strategists
3 years ago
Beta compression will be a dominant theme in 2021 for high yield versus investment grade CDS and bonds, financial versus non-financial credit and subordinated versus senior financial bonds, say Bank or America strategists in a research note. Short volatility positions are also attractive, they add, while cautioning sub versus senior financial CDS could buck the trend -
High yield inflows return as appetite moves to long end
3 years ago
A heavy slant in preference for investment grade credit has been underscored by high grade funds recording their 20th week of inflows in a row, but high yield funds are also back to positive flow for the first time in three weeks on returning European appetite -
Volatility trading has room to run, say strategists, as market holds firm after rally
4 years ago
Big intraday swings have abated from the credit market, but spreads are finely poised in their mid-range positioning between the March peaks of the crisis and pre-crisis levels. According to strategists, this leaves plenty to play for in volatility trading
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